Kendrake
0x484925218b528dcaf256ce2d27a4e959fff0b756
- Realised P&L
- $102.22
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $293.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $266.21 | −$1.89 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.461 | $8.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $8.22 | −$0.19 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.760 | 0.805 | $5.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.615 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.30at 0.655Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
- +$100.19at 0.494Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$75.21at 0.714Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?
- +$71.38at 0.465Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$36.38at 0.892Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:50 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7099999974 | $2.69 |
| 10-06 02:50 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7099999869 | $11.39 |
| 10-06 02:49 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7099999966 | $48.40 |
| 10-06 02:49 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7099999995 | $205.62 |
| 10-05 09:15 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 09:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.468 | $4.17 |
| 10-05 09:15 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2199999938 | $4.28 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.55 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2199999915 | $4.13 |
| 10-05 09:14 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.37 |
| 10-05 06:12 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999866 | $2.42 |
| 10-05 06:10 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6999999911 | $7.88 |
| 10-05 06:10 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7 | $33.53 |
| 10-05 06:10 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.699999999 | $142.67 |
| 10-04 20:36 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999599 | $4.86 |