PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cvaaaa

0x4848c2a4e5d25b4c03288c8b9ea2a6b6b9f443de

Realised P&L
$0.33
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$6.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2800.270$6.75$0.25
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 16:58Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.28$7.00
06-12 08:58Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-11 13:53Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.00
06-11 13:52Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.7$1.00
02-27 13:07Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.74$1.00
02-27 12:59Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?BUY0.9$1.00
12-29 13:28Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?BUY0.92$1.00
10-29 02:31Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDBUY0.8699999913$1.00
10-29 02:29Democratic sweep?SELL0.82$1.03
09-23 13:40Democratic sweep?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-07 07:30Will Bitcoin dip to $112K August 4–10?BUY0.66$1.00
08-07 07:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.55$0.93
07-26 16:04Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
07-26 16:03Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?SELL0.14$0.19
06-28 05:47Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?BUY0.719999856$1.00