Surpriced-Legacy
0x4834f8ba3454b8c3bae2cac7d235ba1adc0b1bfa
- Realised P&L
- $139.1k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.335Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.202Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$768.63at 0.088Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$622.78at 0.215Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$594.53at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:48 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 18:48 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 17:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $168.00 |
| 09-16 01:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $136.50 |
| 09-14 22:48 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 09-14 16:17 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-14 15:47 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $0.19 |
| 09-14 15:47 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-11 19:24 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.7k |
| 09-11 19:24 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.33899996 | $84.75 |
| 09-09 19:45 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.04 |
| 09-09 19:44 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.77 |
| 09-09 19:04 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.349936383 | $1.6k |
| 09-09 19:04 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $21.35 |
| 09-09 19:03 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.10 |