PolyBot

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Traders

Surpriced-Legacy

0x4834f8ba3454b8c3bae2cac7d235ba1adc0b1bfa

Realised P&L
$139.1k
Volume
$1.14M
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.2720.185$5.8k$2.7k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Down0.0590.000$0.00$17.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$166.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.0250.000$0.00$49.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$16.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$124.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$23.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.1160.000$0.00$340.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$51.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$44.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down0.0840.000$0.00$197.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:48Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.18$2.70
09-17 18:48Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.18$27.00
09-16 17:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.14$168.00
09-16 01:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$136.50
09-14 22:48Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.41$4.10
09-14 16:17Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.43$2.15
09-14 15:47Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.35$0.19
09-14 15:47Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.35$3.50
09-11 19:24Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.35$1.7k
09-11 19:24Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.33899996$84.75
09-09 19:45Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.34$2.04
09-09 19:44Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.31$1.77
09-09 19:04Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.349936383$1.6k
09-09 19:04Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.35$21.35
09-09 19:03Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.34$13.10