zigbar
0x482fc86f05018328564ae2da7193b02b582e9e90
- Realised P&L
- $-8.46
- Volume
- $173.63
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $5.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.106 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.81at 0.278Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$-7.66at 0.215Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:00 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1049999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 08:58 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.38 |
| 10-20 08:57 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | SELL | 0.0594853002 | $2.87 |
| 10-16 23:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999946 | $3.97 |
| 10-16 00:53 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.2069999989 | $10.00 |