PolyBot

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Traders

Winry

0x482bf5accdecfaffa67c14d4d4fbb59f428a3266

Realised P&L
$40.4k
Volume
$257.37M
Markets traded
766
Open portfolio
$11.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded766
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9090.814$7.0k$810.66
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8610.859$945.16$2.32
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8150.815$687.87$0.06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8060.952$527.90+$81.15
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.8880.990$458.37+$47.23
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8690.915$420.90+$21.00
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6040.745$361.81+$68.48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6650.703$355.60+$18.83
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4100.375$136.71$12.76
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.7120.762$101.48+$6.68
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.295$79.73$20.27
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5880.435$38.27$13.50
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2300.185$26.32$6.40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9590.980$23.92+$0.51
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.1010.050$11.63$12.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999994$112.51
09-16 11:49Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?SELL0.763$101.54
08-09 11:00Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8099999951$9.88
08-07 01:30Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7899999998$250.00
08-07 01:28Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7899999934$100.00
08-07 01:27Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7899999934$100.00
08-06 09:37Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.6050333126$456.78
08-02 01:41Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.7$4.19
08-02 01:41Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.7$7.00
08-02 01:41Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6862318841$28.41
08-01 08:49Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.87$174.00
08-01 01:45Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8608870845$747.47
08-01 01:44Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.369999998$100.00
08-01 01:43Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7049481252$30.00
08-01 01:43Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6699999839$10.00