Winry
0x482bf5accdecfaffa67c14d4d4fbb59f428a3266
- Realised P&L
- $40.4k
- Volume
- $257.37M
- Markets traded
- 766
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded766
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.1kat 0.010Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$31.7kat 0.058Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.5kat 0.031Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.9kat 0.033Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.5kat 0.024Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999994 | $112.51 |
| 09-16 11:49 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.763 | $101.54 |
| 08-09 11:00 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099999951 | $9.88 |
| 08-07 01:30 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $250.00 |
| 08-07 01:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899999934 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 01:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899999934 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 09:37 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.6050333126 | $456.78 |
| 08-02 01:41 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.19 |
| 08-02 01:41 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 01:41 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6862318841 | $28.41 |
| 08-01 08:49 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 08-01 01:45 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8608870845 | $747.47 |
| 08-01 01:44 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 01:43 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7049481252 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 01:43 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |