AlexD87
0x482943e8126e83a63695cebde33a9498ee7497eb
- Realised P&L
- $7.5k
- Volume
- $985.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,603
- Open portfolio
- $801.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,603
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$513.94at 0.666Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?
- +$463.58at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?
- +$452.55at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?
- +$445.05at 0.357Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?
- +$418.72at 0.111Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9593011488 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9496273764 | $49.95 |
| 09-21 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9969999971 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9969999971 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.7636040782 | $44.94 |
| 09-21 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.5428802039 | $31.95 |
| 09-21 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2548853016 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9973087773 | $352.12 |
| 09-21 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8730158633 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $441.52 |
| 09-21 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.698564593 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4973734947 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9617271674 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.367999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9537369421 | $100.00 |