0x482943e8126e83a63695cEbDE33A9498ee7497Eb-1762456938039
0x482943e8126e83a63695cebde33a9498ee7497eb
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $778.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,090
- Open portfolio
- $319.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,090
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$530.24at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?
- +$474.15at 0.457Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?
- +$420.96at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 25?
- +$392.32at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 24?
- +$287.40at 0.423Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:46 | KR Reykjavik leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.3299999945 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 19:44 | Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $154.13 |
| 08-05 19:31 | Will KR Reykjavik win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5899999983 | $103.00 |
| 08-05 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.97 | $105.88 |
| 08-05 19:10 | Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $118.80 |
| 08-05 18:46 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:45 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | SELL | 0.7316321045 | $76.21 |
| 08-05 18:38 | Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:36 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.7049608314 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.7945625098 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.86007872 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 17:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $217.83 |
| 08-05 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $116.52 |
| 08-05 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.9021797944 | $116.72 |