PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AlexD87

0x482943e8126e83a63695cebde33a9498ee7497eb

Realised P&L
$7.5k
Volume
$985.7k
Markets traded
2,603
Open portfolio
$801.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,603
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.9593011488$50.00
09-21 14:51Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.9496273764$49.95
09-21 14:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.9969999971$100.00
09-21 14:29Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.9969999971$100.00
09-21 13:47Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?SELL0.7636040782$44.94
09-21 13:30Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?SELL0.5428802039$31.95
09-21 13:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.2548853016$30.00
09-21 13:08Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.9973087773$352.12
09-21 12:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21?BUY0.8730158633$10.00
09-21 12:43Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?SELL0.999$441.52
09-21 12:40Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.698564593$20.00
09-21 12:30Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?BUY0.4973734947$10.00
09-21 12:29Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?BUY0.9617271674$20.00
09-21 12:27Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?BUY0.367999987$10.00
09-21 12:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 21?BUY0.9537369421$100.00