PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x482666d9Fe592fbe4998C0fC838bfc6b95C179da-1771423328933

0x482666d9fe592fbe4998c0fc838bfc6b95c179da

Realised P&L
$226.46
Volume
$40.8k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$74.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0400.153$19.19+$14.19
Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes0.0050.100$10.93+$10.37
Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes0.0400.029$7.20−$2.73
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5100.295$5.90−$4.30
Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0400.046$5.81+$0.81
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1000.275$5.78+$3.67
Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0400.032$3.94−$1.06
Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes0.0550.015$2.56−$7.21
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1000.115$2.40+$0.30
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? · Yes0.0500.070$2.11+$0.60
Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0400.013$1.63−$3.38
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0800.120$1.20+$0.40
Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes0.0790.011$1.17−$6.83
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1000.054$1.13−$0.97
Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election? · Yes0.0480.009$1.03−$4.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 15:39Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois BoissonBUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-12 10:01Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DBUY0.5499999956$50.00
08-12 09:59Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group CBUY0.5999999976$50.00
08-07 08:39National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra EalaBUY0.699999993$10.00
08-07 08:39National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco GauffBUY0.7799999984$10.00
08-07 08:39National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda BencicBUY0.7299999876$10.00
08-07 08:38National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.6899999869$10.00
08-07 08:38National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.699999993$10.00
08-07 08:38National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.7599999878$10.00
08-07 08:37National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.8399999966$10.00
08-07 08:37National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina KorneevaBUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-07 08:35Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 PlayoffsBUY0.4699999915$10.00
08-07 08:33Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16BUY0.6799999946$10.00
08-07 08:32Counter-Strike: Brute vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 PlayoffsBUY0.8099999854$10.00
08-07 08:19Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 PlayoffsBUY0.7799999984$10.00