PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x480639387a223ec8c205ec8579f6b29e61721673

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$20.58

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.004$20.58−$981.17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 6? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$17.50
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 6? · Yes0.3350.000$0.00−$3.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$7.80
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.2890.000$0.00−$17.35
Will Samuel Sevian win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.34
Will Wesley So win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.29
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? · No0.3810.000$0.00−$351.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.2530.000$0.00−$25.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$17.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00−$26.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.1530.000$0.00−$10.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.1940.000$0.00−$15.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-01 08:19Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY0.39$51.45
02-01 08:16Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY0.38$94.80
02-01 08:14Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY0.377736$75.55
02-01 08:13Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY0.38$129.20
02-01 08:12Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.15$53.55
02-01 08:11Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.15$246.00
01-26 15:32Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.18$496.36
01-26 06:51Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.17$19.86
01-25 18:59Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.17$81.26
01-25 09:37Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.16$36.71
01-20 17:50Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1699999919$14.71
01-20 17:46Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1699999977$49.60
01-20 17:07Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1699999996$337.54
12-09 16:29Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?SELL0.7$70.00
12-09 07:02Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.59$29.50