sirwinalot69
0x480639387a223ec8c205ec8579f6b29e61721673
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $61.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.10at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$69.68at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$65.00at 0.150Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
- +$65.00at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$60.60at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-01 08:19 | Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | BUY | 0.39 | $51.45 |
| 02-01 08:16 | Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | BUY | 0.38 | $94.80 |
| 02-01 08:14 | Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | BUY | 0.377736 | $75.55 |
| 02-01 08:13 | Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | BUY | 0.38 | $129.20 |
| 02-01 08:12 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $53.55 |
| 02-01 08:11 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $246.00 |
| 01-26 15:32 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $496.36 |
| 01-26 06:51 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $19.86 |
| 01-25 18:59 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $81.26 |
| 01-25 09:37 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $36.71 |
| 01-20 17:50 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999919 | $14.71 |
| 01-20 17:46 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999977 | $49.60 |
| 01-20 17:07 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $337.54 |
| 12-09 16:29 | Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 12-09 07:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |