PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

1017

0x47fcb31f631f2e992331fc80d3fb9fb106d7979d

Realised P&L
$-24.33
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$79.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes0.5800.315$69.48$58.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.6550.075$8.02$61.98
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4600.095$2.27$8.73
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$24.00
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$15.00
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$13.00
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 15:38Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.0379999971$13.00
05-28 09:23Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0939999968$24.00
04-01 07:07Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.475291314$15.00
03-11 00:36Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?BUY0.3099999888$18.00
02-07 03:19Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.7299999965$55.00
01-12 04:37Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?BUY0.6769230769$110.00
01-07 06:01Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.4599999866$11.00
12-08 05:30Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.4199999906$17.00
10-31 11:37LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)BUY0.7499999489$11.00
10-04 03:07Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?SELL0.67$35.26
10-04 03:07Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?BUY0.16$12.00
07-05 04:21Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?BUY0.2481708402$15.00
06-13 01:04Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?BUY0.145514943$15.00
06-13 01:01Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?SELL0.81$57.85
05-09 03:00Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?BUY0.189999988$10.00