0x47f8b062cfb63ca551ddaae51cc90114e871ea19
0x47f8b062cfb63ca551ddaae51cc90114e871ea19
- Realised P&L
- $-0.45
- Volume
- $209.00
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $2.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.954 | $2.03 | +$1.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.140 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.247Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$3.21at 0.278Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.05at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$3.05at 0.288Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.359S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:46 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 02:34 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 18:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:50 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:40 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:37 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:54 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:57 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |