PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dd8ccc

0x47e9c20a605a74668a91177805e9be8b0cbded9c

Realised P&L
$42.40
Volume
$122.0k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$27.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9850.958$15.33−$0.43
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6600.590$11.80−$1.40
Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$0.49
Will Moritz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$0.15
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2024? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.22
Will LeBron James lead the NBA in Assists? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$0.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$11.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$0.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 20-26? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$6.60
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No0.9650.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 15:57Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.985$15.76
08-27 15:56Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.999$15.98
08-27 15:56Will BNB dip to $200 in August?BUY0.999$32.97
08-27 15:51Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.66$13.20
08-21 16:37Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$34.00
07-31 14:44Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.999$12.99
07-31 14:42Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$13.20
07-31 13:13Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$16.06
06-06 08:31Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$122.63
06-06 08:30Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.917$10.95
06-06 08:30Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.968$11.19
06-06 08:30Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$14.97
06-06 08:30Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$20.96
05-24 16:59Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?BUY0.997$15.95
05-24 16:59Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?BUY0.997$17.95