123z
0x47e6d461c40169233b41ea6cdad6b6cb8126fd61
- Realised P&L
- $-40.5k
- Volume
- $1.70M
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $5.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.136Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$901.96at 0.510Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?
- +$575.57at 0.585Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?
- +$553.58at 0.810Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
- +$534.26at 0.100US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $44.00 |
| 07-28 07:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2834641645 | $965.20 |
| 07-24 14:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2489910929 | $1.0k |
| 07-24 14:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $658.00 |
| 07-24 14:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006935753 | $1.2k |
| 06-11 14:28 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006793559 | $6.58 |
| 06-11 13:38 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0055064112 | $10.87 |
| 06-11 13:16 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0059836066 | $7.30 |
| 06-10 19:05 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0084605263 | $12.86 |
| 06-10 17:08 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.55 |
| 06-10 15:53 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.21 |
| 06-10 15:46 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.31 |
| 06-10 15:45 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.31 |
| 06-10 15:45 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.21 |
| 06-10 15:45 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.31 |