PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

123z

0x47e6d461c40169233b41ea6cdad6b6cb8126fd61

Realised P&L
$-40.5k
Volume
$1.70M
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$5.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.1790.009$5.54$99.16
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$50.00
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2100.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00$612.10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17? · No0.1220.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.2k
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09? · No0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$549.92
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$7.0k
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21? · No0.5600.000$0.00$50.00
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-13? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$50.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$500.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$3.0k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$640.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 13:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$44.00
07-28 07:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2834641645$965.20
07-24 14:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2489910929$1.0k
07-24 14:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$658.00
07-24 14:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.006935753$1.2k
06-11 14:28Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.006793559$6.58
06-11 13:38Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0055064112$10.87
06-11 13:16Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059836066$7.30
06-10 19:05Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0084605263$12.86
06-10 17:08Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$10.55
06-10 15:53Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$0.21
06-10 15:46Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$1.31
06-10 15:45Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$1.31
06-10 15:45Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$2.21
06-10 15:45Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$1.31