0x47e567728c271bf3250127a395601f7563dc3239
- Realised P&L
- $-0.65
- Volume
- $41.53
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $7.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15? · Down | 0.600 | 1.000 | $1.83 | +$0.73 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.620 | 1.000 | $1.77 | +$0.67 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.580 | $1.77 | +$0.67 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.705 | $1.23 | +$0.13 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.295 | $0.83 | −$0.27 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.130 | $0.53 | −$0.57 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.69at 0.400Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.600Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.44at 0.718Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.38at 0.748SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 14?
- +$-1.10at 0.230US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.5999998909 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 03:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999084 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 03:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999752 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 19:03 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999476 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 11:02 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999386 | $1.10 |
| 09-14 02:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.7399998924 | $1.10 |
| 09-13 18:47 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.3599999476 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999854 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 01:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.10 |
| 09-10 17:22 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998967 | $1.10 |
| 09-10 08:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6199998422 | $1.10 |
| 09-09 21:10 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.329999934 | $1.10 |
| 09-09 13:06 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5899999303 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 13:04 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.2399999651 | $1.10 |
| 09-07 23:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999752 | $1.10 |