Dravnyx
0x47dcdf1169335e2f17b1f13685202b649c5296f2
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $106.0k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $135.80
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.465 | 0.400 | $79.10 | −$12.84 |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.760 | $38.00 | +$10.50 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.935 | $18.70 | +$5.10 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.793 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.86 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.597Raptors vs. Pistons
- +$1.6kat 0.567Pistons vs. 76ers
- +$1.1kat 0.637Timberwolves vs. 76ers
- +$756.60at 0.706Magic vs. Mavericks
- +$686.76at 0.883Spurs vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:25 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 08-29 03:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-22 14:27 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 08-13 10:10 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.47 | $45.94 |
| 08-13 10:10 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 08-13 10:09 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $88.92 |
| 08-08 04:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $81.90 |
| 07-28 09:49 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.793 | $15.86 |
| 07-21 02:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.7 | $11.66 |
| 07-08 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 06-29 11:45 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 06-20 15:54 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.959 | $19.18 |
| 06-14 10:43 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 06-02 12:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 04-05 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.2k |