mcbbqu7j
0x47da2666ea19d0200e2ef8ad7222f554f4fa37e1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.00
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $416.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.20at 0.880Bitcoin above 76,800 on October 30, 1PM ET?
- +$16.87at 0.847Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?
- +$12.80at 0.680Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 in October?
- +$5.75at 0.875Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of October 26 2026?
- +$3.96at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:29 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in November? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.55 |
| 11-01 11:28 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $275 on November 2? | BUY | 0.1531034483 | $1.11 |
| 10-31 15:21 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in November? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.37 |
| 10-31 13:24 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in November? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 10-31 04:47 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $500-$510 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $73.60 |
| 10-31 04:02 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 2 above $270? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-30 16:20 | Bitcoin above 78,000 on October 30, 1PM ET? | BUY | 0.1199999944 | $1.72 |
| 10-30 16:08 | Bitcoin above 77,000 on October 30, 1PM ET? | BUY | 0.11 | $17.60 |
| 10-30 12:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0010055249 | $0.91 |
| 10-30 01:46 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October? | BUY | 0.8466743954 | $93.13 |
| 10-29 21:07 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $162 in October? | BUY | 0.68 | $27.20 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:45 | Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $226.32 |
| 10-29 12:30 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999986 | $14.22 |