0x47d6e5ecf85126aea97e248255d634083f68ec4e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.27
- Volume
- $76.92
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $4.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.705 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? · No | 0.690 | 0.675 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.245 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.435 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.080 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.36at 0.430Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
- +$0.98at 0.510Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.550Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:05 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:04 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:08 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:50 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 01:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:25 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:07 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:55 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |