flocci1200
0x47d3b4c48e06990ed4b97c7967582b27ec29a8f7
- Realised P&L
- $238.51
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 595
- Open portfolio
- $13.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded595
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.88at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?
- +$114.11at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?
- +$113.75at 0.048Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?
- +$112.51at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?
- +$105.65at 0.142Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-24 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-24 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-23 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-23 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-23 20:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-23 20:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-23 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-23 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-23 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-23 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 09-23 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.998 | $91.73 |
| 09-23 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 09-23 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 09-23 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |