PolyBot

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Traders

flocci1200

0x47d3b4c48e06990ed4b97c7967582b27ec29a8f7

Realised P&L
$238.51
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
595
Open portfolio
$13.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded595
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 25? · No0.9600.930$9.30$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? · Yes0.3600.405$2.02+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.5000.150$0.75$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24? · Yes0.3700.420$0.73+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23? · Yes0.0620.001$0.10$12.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 24? · Yes0.0020.004$0.09+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on September 23? · Yes0.1980.001$0.05$18.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.1200.001$0.05$10.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23? · Yes0.0990.001$0.05$9.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.0990.001$0.05$9.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 24? · Yes0.0010.002$0.04+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? · Yes0.0980.001$0.01$2.14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 15? · No0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 26? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 26? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$1.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 00:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 24?SELL0.003$0.06
09-24 00:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?SELL0.06$0.30
09-24 00:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 24?SELL0.003$0.03
09-23 23:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?SELL0.04$0.20
09-23 22:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?SELL0.98$9.80
09-23 20:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?SELL0.85$4.25
09-23 20:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.69$3.45
09-23 19:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 25?BUY0.96$9.60
09-23 09:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?SELL0.92$4.60
09-23 08:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.36$1.80
09-23 08:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?SELL0.002$0.18
09-23 08:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23?SELL0.998$91.73
09-23 05:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?SELL0.001$0.09
09-23 04:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 23?SELL0.001$0.09
09-23 03:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?SELL0.001$0.07