flocci1200
0x47d3b4c48e06990ed4b97c7967582b27ec29a8f7
- Realised P&L
- $39.69
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $29.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 11? · No | 0.895 | 0.925 | $10.17 | +$0.33 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.985 | $9.85 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11? · No | 0.943 | 0.985 | $8.76 | +$0.37 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.997 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.27at 0.524Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$4.01at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$3.75at 0.570LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$3.29at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?
- +$3.17at 0.070Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.02 |
| 08-09 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.02 |
| 08-09 09:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-09 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-09 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.2 | $13.20 |
| 08-09 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.75 |
| 08-09 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-09 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-09 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.986 | $0.99 |
| 08-09 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.64 |
| 08-09 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.76 |
| 08-09 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.69 |
| 08-09 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.986 | $6.90 |
| 08-09 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.87 |