0x47d29116bc1c704dbabf52f3bc656255ee1820d7
0x47d29116bc1c704dbabf52f3bc656255ee1820d7
- Realised P&L
- $2.37
- Volume
- $61.51
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $6.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $6.66 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.32at 0.744Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.06at 0.794Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.84 |
| 09-20 23:14 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.987 | $0.39 |
| 09-20 23:13 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7899999837 | $5.81 |
| 09-19 06:00 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $4.00 |