0x47cf56fcb01420c7cfba54308eefa50c0c41ca17
0x47cf56fcb01420c7cfba54308eefa50c0c41ca17
- Realised P&L
- $-6.46
- Volume
- $50.88
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.495 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.30at 0.440Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$1.20at 0.460Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$0.94at 0.520SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$0.67at 0.600Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 00:37 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in September? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 03:56 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 01:13 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 20:49 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 12:25 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:08 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August? | BUY | 0.3219997881 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 01:06 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 05:05 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 21:04 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 12:59 | Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |