iknowabotur
0x47ce108f37bf4ced9ac13f2b48e549bb9b97fb29
- Realised P&L
- $-38.24
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $101.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · No | 0.967 | 0.957 | $56.13 | −$0.62 |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? · No | 0.967 | 0.739 | $45.21 | −$13.95 |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · No | 0.948 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.946Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$2.30at 0.947Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by May 31?
- +$1.35at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
- +$0.64at 0.966Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.950Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 09:14 | Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |