0x47af6e7109d53d0b3f0cadc861d5bb96865e6a1c
0x47af6e7109d53d0b3f0cadc861d5bb96865e6a1c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.15
- Volume
- $54.67
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.575 | $1.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.570 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.87at 0.370Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.46at 0.689S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?
- +$0.44at 0.699S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$0.42at 0.708Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:05 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 02:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998778 | $1.10 |
| 08-29 14:49 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in August? | BUY | 0.5199999244 | $1.10 |
| 08-29 04:19 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998473 | $1.10 |
| 08-25 05:00 | Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.7799993618 | $1.10 |
| 08-24 20:39 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.769999909 | $1.10 |
| 08-24 10:24 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998671 | $1.10 |
| 08-24 02:21 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998851 | $1.10 |
| 08-23 03:13 | Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.10 |
| 08-21 21:57 | Will Trump say "Hottest" 2+ times during his rally with Darline Graham? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |