tpereira2005
0x47a9454a36338e1c1ef580b2ef0063cc0ff880ba
- Realised P&L
- $-20.64
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $62.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.70at 0.640Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
- +$17.62at 0.300Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
- +$16.32at 0.530Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
- +$16.20at 0.263Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$15.41at 0.245Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 15:44 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 12:41 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 18:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 23:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 23:11 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-15 16:23 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-02 22:36 | Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 14:09 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 01:35 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.4990215185 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 21:26 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999883 | $5.00 |
| 05-25 22:23 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 05-23 23:03 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.983 | $8.47 |
| 05-19 19:20 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5150197544 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 17:59 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 22:52 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |