0x47a5cfe623222e2e55cf5c7a788f521bf312bcd5
0x47a5cfe623222e2e55cf5c7a788f521bf312bcd5
- Realised P&L
- $3.60
- Volume
- $50.60
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $6.62
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.495 | $1.90 | +$0.90 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.790 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.685 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.780 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.039 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.89at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.61at 0.620US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:48 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:47 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:46 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:24 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:28 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:10 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:49 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:47 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:46 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:43 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:17 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |