0x47a460cdd9cbac2f1573222ddd45840f363efccb
0x47a460cdd9cbac2f1573222ddd45840f363efccb
- Realised P&L
- $-4.29
- Volume
- $688.07
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.011 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.013 | 0.007 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.14at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$-2.15at 0.037Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 122 and 125 million views on day 3? | BUY | 0.0093870271 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:34 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:32 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.0039924144 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:29 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129903871 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:27 | Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.0095526494 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 00:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |