0x47A2876d122D007120d59D483b896186afcca335-1782587303839
0x47a2876d122d007120d59d483b896186afcca335
- Realised P&L
- $-216.48
- Volume
- $52.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.75 |
| Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$488.12at 0.762Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$389.61at 0.650Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$325.67at 0.527Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$309.38at 0.752Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:07 | Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5863630816 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 20:05 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.82 | $205.00 |
| 10-02 19:58 | Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.3160317527 | $75.24 |
| 10-02 19:12 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.64 | $160.00 |
| 10-02 19:01 | Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4199999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-01 12:08 | Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 19:25 | Belgium vs. France: France O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 17:31 | Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 16:37 | Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.72 | $65.45 |
| 09-28 15:04 | Georgia vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:05 | Germany vs. Greece: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7569999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 14:01 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6899999973 | $120.25 |
| 09-26 20:12 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.65 | $122.67 |
| 09-26 15:29 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $125.00 |
| 09-25 18:34 | Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999969 | $71.32 |