bowengerald
0x47a1e3722bb766109dac5f63a06bd0251d99221e
- Realised P&L
- $104.74
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $20.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State vs. Indiana · Ohio State | 0.630 | 0.630 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.70at 0.721Cavaliers vs. Lakers
- +$2.58at 0.999Bitcoin all time high in April?
- +$1.17at 0.370Solana above $185 on January 3?
- +$0.53at 0.410Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$0.41at 0.970Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:01 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999204 | $10.18 |
| 01-30 14:41 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.71 |
| 01-30 14:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.57 |
| 01-30 12:45 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.15 |
| 12-30 11:14 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.91 |
| 12-29 22:38 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999218 | $11.12 |
| 12-29 22:34 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999037 | $8.44 |
| 12-29 21:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.61 |
| 10-30 23:34 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9829999925 | $20.18 |
| 10-30 18:51 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.39 |
| 09-29 17:54 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.89 |
| 09-29 03:34 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.67 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999553 | $19.74 |
| 09-28 20:54 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $13.28 |
| 09-01 01:41 | Yoon out of custody by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.35 |