MatrixAL
0x47a1ae3645eeb1230553197b397e3500e9cc6e03
- Realised P&L
- $-318.17
- Volume
- $193.3k
- Markets traded
- 768
- Open portfolio
- $374.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded768
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.999 | $224.66 | −$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $74.96 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $74.96 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$626.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.37at 0.994Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?
- +$3.76at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 18?
- +$3.73at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 31?
- +$3.67at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?
- +$3.62at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.31 |
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 11-01 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.68 |
| 11-01 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.66 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 17:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 11-01 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |