0x47939a2c7cE2Cfb3Ed6ac86dc346fcBe42841d39-1737686821267
0x47939a2c7ce2cfb3ed6ac86dc346fcbe42841d39
- Realised P&L
- $-79.56
- Volume
- $79.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,579
- Open portfolio
- $350.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,579
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.72at 0.480Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$180.06at 0.167Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?
- +$177.94at 0.167Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
- +$177.72at 0.111Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$177.62at 0.167Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 10:52 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 05-10 10:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.3766083333 | $27.12 |
| 04-14 10:02 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.66 |
| 04-14 10:02 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.50 |
| 04-14 10:02 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.20 |
| 04-14 10:02 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.40 |
| 04-14 10:02 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.70 |
| 04-14 09:52 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.84 | $24.88 |
| 04-14 09:49 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.8399999975 | $39.49 |
| 04-14 09:46 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.60 |
| 04-14 09:46 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.90 |
| 04-14 09:46 | Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.90 |
| 04-14 09:46 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.02 |
| 04-14 09:46 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.20 |
| 04-14 09:46 | Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.16 |