PolyBot

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Traders

Lardzz

0x47902b3fe35b22fae03931bc41222c00683925b4

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$94.0k
Markets traded
295
Open portfolio
$264.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded295
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1300.038$77.01$183.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3060.085$52.23$135.66
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3500.355$50.71+$0.71
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1480.148$15.02+$0.02
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0450.051$11.22+$1.22
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0420.043$10.12+$0.12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.1660.105$7.56$4.41
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0100.007$7.50$2.50
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0240.018$7.29$2.71
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0110.015$6.82+$1.82
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0500.055$5.50+$0.50
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1090.104$4.79$0.21
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0430.018$4.25$5.75
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0480.040$4.15$0.85
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 08:28Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.16625$11.97
09-16 08:25Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.05$5.00
09-16 08:24Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.011$5.00
09-16 08:23Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0419999998$10.00
09-16 08:22Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0481612052$5.00
09-16 08:22Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1483413641$15.00
09-16 08:22Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1089999991$5.00
09-16 08:21Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.01$10.00
09-16 08:21Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0434878866$10.00
09-16 08:20Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.024$10.00
09-16 08:20Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0449999998$10.00
09-16 08:20Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3499999997$50.00
09-05 07:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$22.90
09-05 03:09Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.012$22.26
07-19 08:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.409999998$96.65