Lardzz
0x47902b3fe35b22fae03931bc41222c00683925b4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $94.0k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $264.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.150Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$150.79at 0.482Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
- +$129.08at 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$114.72at 0.082Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$67.99at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:28 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.16625 | $11.97 |
| 09-16 08:25 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:23 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0419999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0481612052 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1483413641 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1089999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0434878866 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:20 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.024 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:20 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0449999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:20 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 07:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $22.90 |
| 09-05 03:09 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.012 | $22.26 |
| 07-19 08:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409999998 | $96.65 |