Goonie83
0x478ed30948dfed196edffe907747d76997fc324d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $859.3k
- Markets traded
- 450
- Open portfolio
- $214.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded450
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.59at 0.314Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$119.85at 0.200Will Japan win on 2025-10-14?
- +$117.27at 0.078Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
- +$87.50at 0.368High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
- +$85.33at 0.180Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:54 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.22 |
| 09-16 20:54 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.59 |
| 09-16 14:03 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4199999909 | $7.40 |
| 09-16 14:02 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 09:45 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $7.09 |
| 09-14 09:44 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.2999999963 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 09:44 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 09:41 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $10.01 |
| 09-13 17:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.25 |
| 09-13 15:01 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2399999934 | $2.92 |
| 09-13 15:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 15:00 | Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.35 |
| 09-12 16:34 | Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2899999982 | $11.03 |
| 09-12 16:33 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.1105512328 | $11.79 |