0x478CB3E121e76326b55a34a198Ed8153b635A7C5-1770411722338
0x478cb3e121e76326b55a34a198ed8153b635a7c5
- Realised P&L
- $-70.10
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $39.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.92at 0.120Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-02-27?
- +$6.88at 0.140Will CA Juventud win on 2026-02-12?
- +$5.95at 0.150Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-02-21?
- +$5.88at 0.160Will Modern SC vs. Petrojet SC end in a draw?
- +$4.92at 0.180Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 11:48 | Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.59 |
| 09-28 13:17 | Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-28 13:17 | Will Central African Republic vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-28 13:17 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-28 07:56 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-27 22:32 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.39 |
| 09-27 22:28 | Will Dominica win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-27 22:06 | Will Dominica win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-27 22:06 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-27 22:00 | Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 22:00 | Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-07 08:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.375 | $7.50 |
| 09-06 11:16 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 100.50 in September? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-22 02:38 | Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-22 02:36 | Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |