PesDaLis1
0x478c442a9ed672d6129974237eb5831ed2b52f0c
- Realised P&L
- $288.10
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner · Yellow Submarine | 0.856 | 1.000 | $2.9k | +$415.40 |
| Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner · Power Rangers | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.47 |
| Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner · Team Synapse | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$304.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.90at 0.661Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
- +$52.62at 0.973Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner
- +$-0.04at 0.659Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-2.38at 0.952Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 17:02 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $996.01 |
| 10-20 17:01 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $994.53 |
| 10-20 16:33 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7298204944 | $493.58 |
| 10-20 16:17 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 10-20 16:09 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.971245345 | $1.9k |
| 10-20 16:06 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2493003828 | $289.14 |
| 10-20 16:06 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 10-20 14:04 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $712.90 |
| 10-20 13:39 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.65 | $463.85 |
| 10-20 10:56 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.0599999997 | $4.78 |
| 10-20 10:56 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.95 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 10:16 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.31 | $4.54 |
| 10-20 10:16 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3299999925 | $4.84 |
| 10-20 10:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.98 |
| 10-20 10:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |