Lanceyao
0x478bb43272c48ef910e88083c4d7d884316ef0c7
- Realised P&L
- $-41.08
- Volume
- $581.12
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $18.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.72at 0.691Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$14.21at 0.417Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$7.51at 0.597Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$5.64at 0.642Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$4.98at 0.587Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 10:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7449999943 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 15:42 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 15:42 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 05:13 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 14:47 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 15:58 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 00:38 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 00:38 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 15:58 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 15:57 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 15:57 | Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 16:16 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 16:12 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |