PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lanceyao

0x478bb43272c48ef910e88083c4d7d884316ef0c7

Realised P&L
$-41.08
Volume
$581.12
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$18.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8500.969$11.39+$1.39
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.9000.957$6.38+$0.38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9290.975$1.05+$0.05
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00−$5.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance · DR Congo0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 10:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7449999943$15.00
07-15 15:42England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-15 15:42England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-13 06:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-12 05:13France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.599999976$5.00
07-08 14:47Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$5.00
07-07 15:58Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7399999674$5.00
07-06 00:38Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-06 00:38Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5199999834$5.00
07-02 15:58Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6699999625$5.00
07-02 15:57Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7099998694$5.00
07-02 15:57Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8799999859$5.00
07-01 16:16Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999836$5.00
07-01 16:12United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.84$5.00