0x477df235b7d1223f0664682ff385e62FFEDAFbb6-1771514724803
0x477df235b7d1223f0664682ff385e62ffedafbb6
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $965.1k
- Markets traded
- 5,172
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,172
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.58at 0.991Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?
- +$14.36at 0.979Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?
- +$12.26at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 28?
- +$11.18at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 23?
- +$10.67at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 09-06 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.05 |
| 09-06 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.993 | $87.41 |
| 08-31 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 08-31 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.30 |
| 08-30 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $0.09 |
| 08-30 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30? | BUY | 0.972 | $34.72 |
| 08-30 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30? | BUY | 0.972 | $0.39 |
| 08-29 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29? | BUY | 0.988 | $17.00 |
| 08-28 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $296.74 |
| 08-12 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.985 | $88.65 |
| 08-11 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.988 | $77.93 |
| 08-07 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.9889782689 | $53.70 |
| 08-02 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $388.44 |
| 07-30 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $56.95 |