PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x477dd7a68bc4c6e5d13564a0c91fe9ea2db74f06

Realised P&L
$317.47
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$25.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 20:00US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL0.948$1.29
09-04 20:00Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.967$2.11
09-04 20:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$27.08
08-22 18:57Kash Patel out by December 31?SELL0.24$0.31
08-22 18:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.04$0.06
08-22 18:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$0.97
08-03 23:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.54$1.00
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.78$1.00
08-01 20:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.92$2.20
08-01 20:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00
08-01 20:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.7$1.00
08-01 20:41US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999588$12.70
08-01 20:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9099999375$1.02
08-01 20:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9$2.64
08-01 18:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.268999812$1.00