PolyBot

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Traders

saltwatercrocodile62

0x477abdb9568b62df46bcbed8c81dc8bf58abeba2

Realised P&L
$0.21
Volume
$16.72
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$8.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? · No0.9890.989$2.73$0.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · No0.9920.999$2.40+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes0.9930.990$1.83$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · Yes0.9680.962$1.34$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:57Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.968$1.35
09-15 21:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18?BUY0.9929999995$1.84
09-15 21:54Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20?BUY0.9889999975$2.73
09-08 15:14Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?BUY0.9589996599$1.39
09-08 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?BUY0.992$1.78
09-08 15:08Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.9919998133$2.38
09-03 00:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?BUY0.9739999959$1.90
09-03 00:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?BUY0.9789999837$1.08
08-28 21:58Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 24-30?BUY0.9719999266$1.96