PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x477A08eDde6755dFBA6800829CD89F6E02aFEC4B-1777830798191

0x477a08edde6755dfba6800829cd89f6e02afec4b

Realised P&L
$-94.44
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$3.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.0400.059$1.17+$0.38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.135$0.61$0.39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.385$0.59$0.41
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.2790.145$0.52$0.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.175$0.35$0.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$0.34$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 16:31Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.039643$0.79
06-23 20:14Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$2.50
06-14 14:26Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$2.50
06-14 14:24Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.05$2.00
05-28 15:18Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?BUY0.1$1.00
05-23 20:02Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.032$1.28
05-21 06:06Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.08
05-21 05:56Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.23$1.15
05-21 05:53Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?BUY0.001$1.00
05-21 05:53Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?BUY0.001$1.00
05-21 05:53Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?BUY0.002$1.00
05-21 05:52Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?BUY0.006$0.62
05-21 05:51Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.008$0.64
05-16 12:42Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
05-16 12:42Will "Celebrate" or "Celebrated" be said during Eurovision?BUY0.889999911$1.00