musaftw
0x47753cb9571d13da2e2cb8241b19ea5568305fdb
- Realised P&L
- $9.72
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $45.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.70at 0.027US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$20.38at 0.093Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$12.73at 0.426Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
- +$11.76at 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.20at 0.354US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:11 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | SELL | 0.17 | $3.27 |
| 09-10 08:57 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 18:19 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $60.00 |
| 09-04 18:18 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.236 | $1.17 |
| 08-23 15:27 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 17:22 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 17:13 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.26263305 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 21:22 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.067999988 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 21:20 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | SELL | 0.33 | $1.37 |
| 07-23 21:15 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 21:04 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | SELL | 0.35 | $13.69 |
| 07-23 21:01 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.1789999802 | $7.00 |
| 07-23 21:00 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | SELL | 0.281 | $1.62 |
| 07-23 20:56 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.1739998695 | $1.00 |