musaftw
0x47753cb9571d13da2e2cb8241b19ea5568305fdb
- Realised P&L
- $4.84
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $90.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.70at 0.027US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$20.38at 0.093Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$11.76at 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.20at 0.354US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.244Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:05 | Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0220648968 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 19:01 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:48 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:58 | Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 10-07 08:57 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 19:54 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.0981395349 | $4.22 |
| 10-05 19:53 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:51 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.40 |
| 09-29 22:13 | Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:53 | Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:27 | Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.68 |
| 09-10 09:11 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | SELL | 0.17 | $3.27 |
| 09-10 08:57 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 18:19 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $60.00 |
| 09-04 18:18 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.236 | $1.17 |