Mitchos
0x47752965161ae4e2f403a1b6618941a5e001ce75
- Realised P&L
- $-13.76
- Volume
- $837.05
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $465.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.933 | 0.943 | $201.95 | +$1.95 |
| Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.942 | 0.940 | $99.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.938 | 0.934 | $99.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.760 | $51.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.110 | $13.30 | −$3.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$1.41at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$-17.22at 0.325Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:12 | Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9277216773 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 19:46 | Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9420579415 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 19:36 | Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9391793449 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 14:09 | Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9379999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 13:59 | Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1385417957 | $16.75 |
| 10-28 12:52 | Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.2163351283 | $34.15 |
| 10-11 22:08 | Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 23:08 | Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3167420788 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |