rrerredayher
0x476f87b23c95df852dab5c41808f7227ce710eb0
- Realised P&L
- $-158.59
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $8.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.18at 0.234Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 10?
- +$14.02at 0.915Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
- +$10.62at 0.338Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$8.61at 0.895Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
- +$8.13at 0.073No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $1.99 |
| 09-26 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.99 |
| 09-25 12:32 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.95 |
| 09-25 12:32 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.95 |
| 09-25 12:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.99 |
| 09-25 12:27 | Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0346087388 | $1.90 |
| 09-25 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.0027773717 | $1.90 |
| 09-25 12:10 | Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | BUY | 0.4 | $1.94 |
| 09-25 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.99 |
| 09-24 14:52 | Exact Score: Kosovo 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland? | BUY | 0.109999996 | $1.91 |
| 09-09 04:31 | Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.25 |
| 09-09 04:31 | Will Glenn Berggård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.99 |
| 09-09 04:31 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.99 |
| 09-09 04:30 | Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.99 |
| 09-09 04:30 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.00 |