0x476e64c5Bc513938AAD0DfC3bAa39Fcd4D77D3BF-1759045430172
0x476e64c5bc513938aad0dfc3baa39fcd4d77d3bf
- Realised P&L
- $29.49
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $37.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.53at 0.711Will CD Tolima vs. CDPJuniorFC end in a draw?
- +$8.23at 0.760Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-07-25?
- +$6.41at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 3?
- +$6.23at 0.941Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 7?
- +$5.00at 0.620Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:46 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.11 |
| 10-19 20:13 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.949 | $43.56 |
| 10-13 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 10-12 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-12 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.8096172 | $40.48 |
| 10-12 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $56.40 |
| 10-07 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.94 | $49.85 |
| 10-05 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.948 | $6.60 |
| 10-04 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-04 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $22.99 |
| 10-03 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $77.28 |
| 09-29 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.954 | $9.54 |
| 09-25 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $84.43 |
| 09-25 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.7580171184 | $10.63 |