PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x476e64c5Bc513938AAD0DfC3bAa39Fcd4D77D3BF-1759045430172

0x476e64c5bc513938aad0dfc3baa39fcd4d77d3bf

Realised P&L
$29.49
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
276
Open portfolio
$37.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded276
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 04:46Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.95$10.11
10-19 20:13Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?BUY0.94$10.00
10-15 17:19Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 15?BUY0.949$43.56
10-13 15:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 14?BUY0.96$38.40
10-12 22:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?SELL0.85$8.50
10-12 22:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?SELL0.8096172$40.48
10-12 10:49Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?BUY0.94$56.40
10-07 04:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 7?BUY0.94$49.85
10-05 06:27Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5?BUY0.948$6.60
10-04 22:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?BUY0.96$4.80
10-04 04:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 4?BUY0.96$22.99
10-03 05:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 3?BUY0.92$77.28
09-29 09:37Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 29?BUY0.954$9.54
09-25 19:25Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 25?BUY0.96$84.43
09-25 12:16Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 25?SELL0.7580171184$10.63