0x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-1765968468023
0x476c1e85d5798b6d6e28dea0b34306017eadce52
- Realised P&L
- $10.2k
- Volume
- $381.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,888
- Open portfolio
- $16.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,888
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$540.66at 0.098Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$412.64at 0.187Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$406.62at 0.320Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
- +$386.02at 0.227Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
- +$335.46at 0.214Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:37 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 09-17 15:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $7.40 |
| 09-17 13:21 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.846 | $18.61 |
| 09-17 13:21 | Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.845 | $18.59 |
| 09-17 13:20 | Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North? | SELL | 0.54 | $81.07 |
| 09-17 12:40 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.10 |
| 09-17 12:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September? | SELL | 0.12 | $14.82 |
| 09-17 12:35 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September? | BUY | 0.87809382 | $66.64 |
| 09-17 12:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $110.40 |
| 09-17 12:26 | Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.933 | $18.66 |
| 09-17 10:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 09-17 09:48 | Will Miami FL have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.9393416759 | $109.97 |
| 09-17 09:40 | Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $196 end of September? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-17 09:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of September? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |