PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-1765968468023

0x476c1e85d5798b6d6e28dea0b34306017eadce52

Realised P&L
$9.2k
Volume
$338.9k
Markets traded
2,434
Open portfolio
$7.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,434
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.973$351.89+$41.66
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.966$318.90+$35.37
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.955$290.92+$29.30
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5390.900$264.76+$106.24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.8150.825$213.10+$2.47
Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6870.940$212.05+$57.05
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6670.755$187.87+$21.94
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9380.993$174.68+$9.53
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6110.640$159.79+$7.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.845$153.79+$32.08
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.7030.754$150.35+$10.27
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.745$149.37+$13.02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.6930.885$146.91+$31.83
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8280.960$142.08+$19.52
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8710.895$127.69+$3.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:28Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of July?BUY0.85$111.35
07-30 17:26Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.938375$165.15
07-29 16:00Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?BUY0.94$7.23
07-29 15:34Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?SELL0.89$42.72
07-29 15:17Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.92$92.00
07-29 14:59Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?BUY0.14$2.52
07-29 14:07Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?SELL0.0143333333$0.86
07-29 14:05Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?BUY0.87$57.42
07-29 09:47Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$48.10
07-29 09:46Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$44.50
07-29 09:46Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
07-29 09:46Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$45.50
07-29 09:45Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$15.75
07-29 09:00Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in August?BUY0.05$5.55
07-28 22:08Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in July?BUY0.866$25.11