PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-1765968468023

0x476c1e85d5798b6d6e28dea0b34306017eadce52

Realised P&L
$10.2k
Volume
$381.7k
Markets traded
2,888
Open portfolio
$16.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,888
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? · No0.7620.970$426.80+$91.60
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.969$350.44+$40.21
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.969$319.90+$36.36
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8590.960$292.29+$30.67
Will Illinois Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9300.930$247.51+$0.17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.8150.935$241.51+$30.89
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6670.950$236.40+$70.46
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5390.795$233.87+$75.35
Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6870.962$217.01+$62.01
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6110.850$212.22+$59.65
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.920$184.46+$48.11
Will Auburn Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.9290.928$177.34$0.11
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9380.986$173.45+$8.29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · No0.7030.864$172.20+$32.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.935$170.17+$48.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:37Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 in September?BUY0.32$19.20
09-17 15:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$7.40
09-17 13:21Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.846$18.61
09-17 13:21Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.845$18.59
09-17 13:20Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?SELL0.54$81.07
09-17 12:40Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$6.10
09-17 12:39Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?SELL0.12$14.82
09-17 12:35Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?BUY0.87809382$66.64
09-17 12:27Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in September?BUY0.92$110.40
09-17 12:26Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.933$18.66
09-17 10:10Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?BUY0.5$15.00
09-17 10:05Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.83$4.98
09-17 09:48Will Miami FL have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.9393416759$109.97
09-17 09:40Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $196 end of September?BUY0.14$4.20
09-17 09:40Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of September?BUY0.19$9.50