0x476c1E85d5798B6d6E28DEA0B34306017EadcE52-1765968468023
0x476c1e85d5798b6d6e28dea0b34306017eadce52
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $338.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,434
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,434
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$542.34at 0.095Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$414.46at 0.183Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$407.31at 0.319Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
- +$392.23at 0.222Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
- +$335.46at 0.214Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 17:28 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of July? | BUY | 0.85 | $111.35 |
| 07-30 17:26 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.938375 | $165.15 |
| 07-29 16:00 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.23 |
| 07-29 15:34 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July? | SELL | 0.89 | $42.72 |
| 07-29 15:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 07-29 14:59 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.52 |
| 07-29 14:07 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July? | SELL | 0.0143333333 | $0.86 |
| 07-29 14:05 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $57.42 |
| 07-29 09:47 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $48.10 |
| 07-29 09:46 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 07-29 09:46 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 07-29 09:46 | Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 07-29 09:45 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.75 |
| 07-29 09:00 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in August? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.55 |
| 07-28 22:08 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in July? | BUY | 0.866 | $25.11 |