PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4766BC1536E5FaffF318d57b1124Ff952aB152FB-1772561962069

0x4766bc1536e5fafff318d57b1124ff952ab152fb

Realised P&L
$83.39
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$0.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat? · Yes0.1350.026$0.96−$4.04
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$5.00
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$7.00
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$7.72
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.18
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$5.37
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 15:33Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.060999992$7.00
07-23 15:30Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex MolcanBUY0.059999989$5.00
07-11 17:55Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2524999648$5.00
07-11 17:54Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
07-07 16:54Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
07-07 16:37Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?SELL0.094$12.37
07-07 15:51Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.0379999928$5.00
07-06 13:08Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-06 13:06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
06-30 12:18Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.08$5.00
06-25 16:49Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States?BUY0.06$5.37
06-25 16:48Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.1890000053$7.00
06-19 14:53Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.5899999896$13.00
06-19 14:52Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY0.08$5.00
06-19 14:51Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.0561212737$5.00