0x4766BC1536E5FaffF318d57b1124Ff952aB152FB-1772561962069
0x4766bc1536e5fafff318d57b1124ff952ab152fb
- Realised P&L
- $83.39
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.83at 0.270Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$37.62at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$33.42at 0.106Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$33.29at 0.133Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$29.87at 0.194Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 15:33 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.060999992 | $7.00 |
| 07-23 15:30 | Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcan | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 17:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2524999648 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 17:54 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:54 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 16:37 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt? | SELL | 0.094 | $12.37 |
| 07-07 15:51 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.0379999928 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 13:08 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 13:06 | Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 12:18 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 16:49 | Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 United States? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.37 |
| 06-25 16:48 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.1890000053 | $7.00 |
| 06-19 14:53 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.5899999896 | $13.00 |
| 06-19 14:52 | Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 14:51 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.0561212737 | $5.00 |