0x4762A9cB084B71afAD08b1A89337dBc7f9365b11-1787625239329
0x4762a9cb084b71afad08b1a89337dbc7f9365b11
- Realised P&L
- $-156.08
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $154.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.00at 0.065Bitcoin above 84,400 on September 30, 9AM ET?
- +$114.10at 0.162Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
- +$95.95at 0.088Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?
- +$25.86at 0.231Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1?
- +$21.81at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.072 | $3.60 |
| 10-02 16:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.076 | $3.80 |
| 10-02 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-02 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.088 | $17.60 |
| 10-02 15:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.171646 | $8.58 |
| 10-02 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.0025394705 | $1.24 |
| 10-02 14:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.5322222222 | $119.75 |
| 10-02 13:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.0051700399 | $0.75 |
| 10-02 13:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 13:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 13:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 12:17 | Bitcoin above 86,000 on October 2, 9AM ET? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 10-02 12:17 | Bitcoin above 86,000 on October 2, 9AM ET? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 10-02 12:16 | Bitcoin above 87,000 on October 2, 9AM ET? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 10-02 12:15 | Bitcoin above 87,000 on October 2, 9AM ET? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.70 |