PolyBot

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Traders

0x4762A9cB084B71afAD08b1A89337dBc7f9365b11-1787625239329

0x4762a9cb084b71afad08b1a89337dbc7f9365b11

Realised P&L
$-156.08
Volume
$13.3k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$154.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? · Yes0.0820.387$154.80+$121.80
Bitcoin above 87,000 on October 2, 9AM ET? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$10.35
Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.4110.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin above 86,000 on October 2, 9AM ET? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$1.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.5090.000$0.00−$17.00
Bitcoin above 85,800 on October 2, 9AM ET? · No0.0840.000$0.00−$11.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$5.00
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.3450.000$0.00−$238.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$9.70
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 27? · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$44.11
Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 1, 3PM ET? · No0.0690.000$0.00−$6.22
Bitcoin above 83,200 on September 30, 9AM ET? · No0.0540.000$0.00−$10.30
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26? · Up0.1720.000$0.00−$19.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$18.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 16:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.072$3.60
10-02 16:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.076$3.80
10-02 16:16Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.08$8.00
10-02 16:16Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.088$17.60
10-02 15:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.171646$8.58
10-02 15:01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2?SELL0.0025394705$1.24
10-02 14:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?SELL0.5322222222$119.75
10-02 13:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2?SELL0.0051700399$0.75
10-02 13:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.08$3.00
10-02 13:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.08$5.00
10-02 13:39Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.08$10.00
10-02 12:17Bitcoin above 86,000 on October 2, 9AM ET?BUY0.07$0.70
10-02 12:17Bitcoin above 86,000 on October 2, 9AM ET?BUY0.07$0.70
10-02 12:16Bitcoin above 87,000 on October 2, 9AM ET?BUY0.08$0.80
10-02 12:15Bitcoin above 87,000 on October 2, 9AM ET?BUY0.07$0.70