PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x475c68C716Bfbf15D62fbc3adf2Ca599d353221f-1771865065621

0x475c68c716bfbf15d62fbc3adf2ca599d353221f

Realised P&L
$-1.49
Volume
$32.0k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$12.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No0.9970.999$12.98+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:56Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.997$12.96
07-06 08:39Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.002$4.04
07-02 04:14Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.005$9.10
06-23 09:55Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$7.68
05-14 07:33Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$8.08
05-08 08:04Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$9.99
05-08 08:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?SELL0.999$15.98
04-25 03:31Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.008$9.92
04-23 07:40Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.006$9.90
04-22 08:29Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$9.80
04-21 08:02Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.08
04-20 04:14Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.00
03-26 05:06Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.981$635.69
03-25 03:57Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.982$636.34