0x475c68C716Bfbf15D62fbc3adf2Ca599d353221f-1771865065621
0x475c68c716bfbf15d62fbc3adf2ca599d353221f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.49
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $12.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $12.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.26at 0.982Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
- +$0.14at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?
- +$0.12at 0.992Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 7?
- +$0.07at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.96 |
| 07-06 08:39 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.04 |
| 07-02 04:14 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.10 |
| 06-23 09:55 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.68 |
| 05-14 07:33 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.08 |
| 05-08 08:04 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 05-08 08:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 04-25 03:31 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-23 07:40 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.90 |
| 04-22 08:29 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.80 |
| 04-21 08:02 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-20 04:14 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 03-26 05:06 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.981 | $635.69 |
| 03-25 03:57 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.982 | $636.34 |