DeFox1125
0x475c1136615ff1b0c25616a6fd379e98962297f5
- Realised P&L
- $117.22
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.52at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$67.40at 0.148Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$24.65at 0.790Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$22.28at 0.400Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
- +$21.82at 0.051Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:37 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0709999977 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:56 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0914641954 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 12:04 | Will Yashar win 28-29 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0865384612 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 12:04 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1814882033 | $25.00 |
| 09-06 14:50 | Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 14:42 | Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2260418795 | $80.00 |
| 09-06 04:34 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.0989999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 04:30 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2048703602 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 19:42 | Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 17:36 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 20:57 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.0586553266 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $37.69 |