student9218
0x475b1b25e5162e6effdc73c18c7f17cc5e1ef2dc
- Realised P&L
- $278.73
- Volume
- $57.0k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $58.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.995 | 0.992 | $25.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.988 | 0.998 | $15.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $12.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No | 0.992 | 0.988 | $3.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.70at 0.510Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$21.66at 0.430Knicks vs. Heat
- +$1.17at 0.789Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.14at 0.951Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.09at 0.570Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 14:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 10-06 14:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9949999721 | $26.00 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $11.00 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9780439035 | $4.50 |
| 08-01 14:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.9976468123 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 02:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.00 |
| 07-27 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.9799999069 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 04:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.00 |
| 07-05 04:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 07-05 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $17.00 |
| 06-26 03:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9899998099 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 03:01 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9729999961 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |