rtgt55fv
0x475b0b699149cb3b2f37361849c394faa8053702
- Realised P&L
- $-523.29
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $71.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.720 | 0.994 | $55.82 | +$15.37 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$0.10 |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.410 | 0.425 | $6.80 | +$0.24 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.56 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| MLB All-Star Game · National League | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.08 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.75 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Washington Nationals | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.75 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets · Kansas City Royals | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.00at 0.500Cavaliers vs. 76ers
- +$63.45at 0.550Islanders vs. Jets
- +$32.34at 0.490Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
- +$26.06at 0.517Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$23.10at 0.630Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 10:41 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-12 08:04 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.41 | $6.56 |
| 10-11 06:33 | Ibaraki Robots vs. Diamond Dolphins | BUY | 0.75 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 08:15 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5 | $8.00 |
| 10-09 10:28 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 10-08 08:46 | Flyers vs. Senators | BUY | 0.59 | $12.98 |
| 10-07 07:04 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4 | $6.40 |
| 10-07 07:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.68 |
| 10-06 09:34 | Bears vs. Packers | BUY | 0.42 | $6.72 |
| 10-05 06:26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5 | $13.00 |
| 10-03 09:08 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.63 | $9.44 |
| 10-02 07:23 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-01 08:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.73 |
| 10-01 08:49 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 09-30 06:58 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |