PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gekonate

0x4758b5b1351ebe9136934828525ac0a45710f17d

Realised P&L
$-88.25
Volume
$944.03
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$7.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? · Yes0.0910.013$7.10−$42.90
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.4390.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:06Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?BUY0.0915038963$50.00
07-19 21:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3769999899$10.00
05-13 19:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.4389999966$50.00
04-19 12:22Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%?BUY0.57783691$50.00
04-13 10:12Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.8099999757$0.97
04-12 20:18Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.5799999861$9.40
04-12 20:17Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.6099998597$0.94
04-11 15:24Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
04-11 14:54Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by less than 5%?BUY0.0603116536$10.00
02-19 22:11Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.15$39.00
02-16 21:55Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?BUY0.0398803589$10.00