0x4755a94927AEcf87285E1d2E6744e6f61E447AD2-1750093474171
0x4755a94927aecf87285e1d2e6744e6f61e447ad2
- Realised P&L
- $-13.7k
- Volume
- $156.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.056 | $1.8k | −$3.5k |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.96 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.45 |
| Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$960.48at 0.673US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
- +$582.73at 0.407US military action against Iran before July?
- +$202.96at 0.928Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 12:11 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 03-08 12:08 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.1697765517 | $492.35 |
| 03-08 10:49 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $48.00 |
| 03-08 10:48 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.1657252131 | $4.4k |
| 03-08 10:20 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $35.53 |
| 03-08 10:19 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $112.00 |
| 07-13 05:16 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 07-13 05:06 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.9297854341 | $1.3k |
| 07-13 05:05 | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.2k |
| 07-12 06:03 | US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.5k |
| 07-12 06:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $500.00 |
| 07-12 06:01 | Iran Nuke in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 07-07 04:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.0980269384 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 02:17 | US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $480.00 |
| 06-30 02:17 | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BUY | 0.094918874 | $400.00 |