PolyBot

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Traders

0x4755a94927AEcf87285E1d2E6744e6f61E447AD2-1750093474171

0x4755a94927aecf87285e1d2e6744e6f61e447ad2

Realised P&L
$-13.7k
Volume
$156.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1650.056$1.8k$3.5k
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$1.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$500.00
Another US military action against Iran by Monday? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$299.96
Iran Nuke in 2025? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$5.0k
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$152.45
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$100.00
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00$4.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 12:11Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.17$85.00
03-08 12:08Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.1697765517$492.35
03-08 10:49Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.16$48.00
03-08 10:48Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.1657252131$4.4k
03-08 10:20Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.14$35.53
03-08 10:19Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.14$112.00
07-13 05:16Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.93$930.00
07-13 05:06Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.9297854341$1.3k
07-13 05:05China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?BUY0.09$1.2k
07-12 06:03US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?BUY0.72$1.5k
07-12 06:02Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?BUY0.1$500.00
07-12 06:01Iran Nuke in 2025?BUY0.1$200.00
07-07 04:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.0980269384$50.00
06-30 02:17US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?BUY0.5599999996$480.00
06-30 02:17China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?BUY0.094918874$400.00